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Prediction market operators are on legal losing streaks, confirming that Beynon is onto something when he says the regulatory environment is the biggest risk facing the industry.
“We continue to view regulation as the largest risk to prediction markets,” says the analyst. “While industry growth remains robust, adverse legal outcomes could materially impact sports contract availability and long-term adoption.”
Amid a string of losses in federal appellate courts, it appears increasingly prediction markets are angling to take their cases to the U.S. Supreme Court, banking that the high court will allow them to continue offering sports event contracts free of state gambling regulations.
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During immersive play, however, they wanted operators to take a more active role, through mechanisms such as pop-ups and reality checks.
After play, some looked to banks or regulatory bodies for oversight on total spend across platforms.
Within this shared model, there was a clear preference for personalised interventions over generic ones.
