Amazon Wild

How to play Amazon Wild

While sports event contracts remain the headline-grabbers for prediction market operators, there’s evidence that other categories are experiencing growth. As Bernstein points out, cryptocurrency event contracts account for at least 20% of the turnover on the two largest prediction markets.

In another encouraging non-sports sign, one of those operators notched just $2 million in commodities volume last year, but that figure surpassed $410 million in August alone and is approaching $600 million on a year-to-date basis.

Bernstein estimates the global market for financial contracts will grow to $900 trillion by 2035, up from $700 trillion last year, and if prediction markets capture just 0.5% of that total, volume would increase by $4.7 trillion per year.

What is Amazon Wild?

“When we started this journey, my only vision was: ‘Let’s not be writing code in August,’” Grenstad says.

Cubeia set out to remove coding as the constraint on software development, but in doing so, the company has discovered that coding was only one constraint in a much larger system. As the bottleneck moves, so do the demands on the organisation: towards domain knowledge, product thinking, quality, prioritisation and understanding what customers need.

The technology itself has therefore become less important to the story.

How to play Amazon Wild

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